APPLICATION OF SPATIAL DATABASE TECHNOLOGY AND SEISMIC GAP METHOD TO SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS AROUND SOUTH-EASTERN TIBETAN PLATEAU

LIU Yan-hui; ZHAO Gen-mo; WU Zhong-hai; LI Yue-hua; MA Dan; JIANG Yao

Volume 20 Issue 3

Sep. 2014

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Article Navigation > Journal of Geomechanics > 2014 > 20(3): 254-273

WANG Lianjie, WANG Wei, ZHANG Lirong, et al., 1999. FUNDAMENTAL EQUATION AND FINITE ELEMENT MODELING FOR OIL AND GAS MIGRATION DRIVED BY CRUSTAL STRESS. Journal of Geomechanics, 5 (1): 29-34.

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LIU Yan-hui, ZHAO Gen-mo, WU Zhong-hai, et al., 2014. APPLICATION OF SPATIAL DATABASE TECHNOLOGY AND SEISMIC GAP METHOD TO SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS AROUND SOUTH-EASTERN TIBETAN PLATEAU. Journal of Geomechanics, 20 (3): 254-273.

WANG Lianjie, WANG Wei, ZHANG Lirong, et al., 1999. FUNDAMENTAL EQUATION AND FINITE ELEMENT MODELING FOR OIL AND GAS MIGRATION DRIVED BY CRUSTAL STRESS. Journal of Geomechanics, 5 (1): 29-34.

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APPLICATION OF SPATIAL DATABASE TECHNOLOGY AND SEISMIC GAP METHOD TO SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS AROUND SOUTH-EASTERN TIBETAN PLATEAU

LIU Yan-hui^{1, 2
,},
ZHAO Gen-mo^{2, 3},
WU Zhong-hai^{1
,
,},
LI Yue-hua^{1, 2},
MA Dan^{2, 4},
JIANG Yao^{1, 2}

1.
Institute of Geomechanics, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
2.
School of Earth Science and Resources, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China
3.
Seismological Bureau of Tianjin City, Tianjin 300201, China
4.
College of Resource Environment and Tourism, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, China

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Abstract

Abstract

Based on the software platform of ArcGIS (invented by ESRI), VS2010, and SQL Server 2008, the spatial database system of the southeastern Tibetan Plateau active tectonic zones that can provide a useful platform for predicting the mid-long term megaseism on active tectonic zones is preliminary established. Taking the study of active faults of southeastern Tibetan Plateau as an example, the research result shows the platform is effective and practical to predict the megaseism. According to the active faults database, 11 cases of the seismic gap's (M≥7.0) parameters and characteristics classified by time are analyzed. On the basis of the empirical formula, this paper propose preliminary analysis on the development of the seismic gaps (M≥5.0) data from 1950 to 2012 and comprehensive analysis on the potential hypocenter and magnitude in southeastern Tibetan Plateau in the future. The results show there are six significant potential seismic gaps around the southeastern Tibetan Plateau that confined by Yushu-Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang Fault, including the Cona-Oiga rift zone, eastern Himalayan syntaxis, Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang Fault zone, Nantinghe and Honghe Fault, Wanding fault-Nanting River fault zone, with the eastern segment of the Lancang-Jinghong fault zone being dangerous areas in next few years probably. Combining with the historical seismicity, late quaternary activity of the active faults in seismic gap indicate the forthcoming earthquake prediction should be paid great attention to.
- spatial database,
- active fault,
- seismic hazard,
- seismic gap,
- earthquake prediction

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References(48)

References

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