Volume 25 Issue 5
Oct.  2019
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TAN Chengxuan, ZHANG Peng, LU Shilong, et al., 2019. SIGNIFICANCE AND ROLE OF IN-SITU CRUSTAL STRESS MEASURING AND REAL-TIME MONITORING IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH. Journal of Geomechanics, 25 (5): 866-876. DOI: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2019.25.05.071
Citation: TAN Chengxuan, ZHANG Peng, LU Shilong, et al., 2019. SIGNIFICANCE AND ROLE OF IN-SITU CRUSTAL STRESS MEASURING AND REAL-TIME MONITORING IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH. Journal of Geomechanics, 25 (5): 866-876. DOI: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2019.25.05.071

SIGNIFICANCE AND ROLE OF IN-SITU CRUSTAL STRESS MEASURING AND REAL-TIME MONITORING IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH

doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2019.25.05.071
More Information
  • Received: 2019-08-05
  • Revised: 2019-09-06
  • Published: 2019-10-31
  • When the Lushan Ms 7.0 earthquake occurred on April 20, 2013, Chinese scientists were not surprised and at a loss what to do as the Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake happened in 2008. The main reason is that a lot of scientific research works have been carried out along the Longmenshan fracture zone after the Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake, and the potential seismic risks have been primarily pre-found at the southwestern segment of the Longmenshan fracture zone, especially, absolute big crustal stress magnitude abnormality from in-situ crustal stress measuring and relative crustal stress short-term precursory abnormal variation from in-situ crustal stress monitoring have been discovered. This paper first briefly introduces the international main views and knowledge on earthquake prediction. Then the inspiration from the bore-hole strain monitoring result of 2004 Parkfield earthquake is discussed. The role and knowledge of crustal stress on earthquake prediction are also summarized. At last, the practice and exploration of in-situ crustal stress measuring and real-time monitoring in earthquake prediction are presented in detail. From the practice and facts, we think that earthquake prediction should be explored and studied, and in-situ crustal stress measuring and real-time monitoring is one of the effective ways for earthquake prediction.

     

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