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矿产预测中成矿信息智能提取与识别方法进展

肖克炎,  王政尧,  柳炳利,  李程,  曹昌杰,  孔韫辉,  王瑶

肖克炎,王政尧,柳炳利,等,2026. 矿产预测中成矿信息智能提取与识别方法进展[J]. 地质力学学报,32(5):1284−1297 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026098
引用本文: 肖克炎,王政尧,柳炳利,等,2026. 矿产预测中成矿信息智能提取与识别方法进展[J]. 地质力学学报,32(5):1284−1297 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026098
XIAO K Y,WANG Z Y,LIU B L,et al.,2026. Advances in intelligent extraction and identification of metallogenic information for mineral prospectivity mapping[J]. Journal of Geomechanics,32(5):1284−1297 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026098
Citation: XIAO K Y,WANG Z Y,LIU B L,et al.,2026. Advances in intelligent extraction and identification of metallogenic information for mineral prospectivity mapping[J]. Journal of Geomechanics,32(5):1284−1297 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026098

矿产预测中成矿信息智能提取与识别方法进展

doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026098
基金项目: 新疆维吾尔自治区重点研发计划项目(2024B03009-3);四川省自然科学基金项目(2024NSFSC0009,2026NSFSCZY0043,2026NSFSC0238)
详细信息
    作者简介:

    肖克炎(1963—),男,博士,研究员,主要从事矿产资源预测、数学地质与成矿规律研究。Email:kyanxiao@sohu.com

    通讯作者:

    王政尧(2001—),男,在读博士,研究方向为数学地质、矿产资源预测与地学人工智能。Email:wangzhengyao@stu.cdut.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: P628

Advances in intelligent extraction and identification of metallogenic information for mineral prospectivity mapping

Funds: This research was financially supported by the Science and Technology Department of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (Grant No. 2024B03009-3) and the Science and Technology Department of Sichuan Province (Grant Nos. 2024NSFSC0009, 2026NSFSCZY0043, and 2026NSFSC0238).
More Information
    Author Bio:

    肖克炎,男,二级研究员,博士生导师,俄罗斯科学院与工程院外籍院士。2023年获第十八次李四光地质科学奖科研奖。曾任成矿远景区划研究室总工程师、主任及矿产资源研究所副总地质师等职。长期从事数学地质、矿产资源评价、成矿预测、深部矿产资源预测及矿产资源大数据智能评价研究。长期以来,围绕矿产资源预测评价理论与技术开展系统研究,建立了成矿系列综合地质信息预测理论方法和“找矿模型—三维建模—定量预测”深部矿产资源预测理论方法体系,研发了区域矿产资源预测评价方法平台(MRAS)及“探矿者”软件系统。近年来进一步开展大数据、人工智能与地质知识融合的智能矿产预测研究,研究方向由数字化矿产预测逐步拓展至大数据智能评价和知识—数据联合驱动的智能找矿。已出版专著16部,发表论文300余篇。先后获国家科学技术进步奖二等奖3项、省部级科学技术奖一等奖4项、二等奖2项。享受国务院政府特殊津贴,并获自然资源部科技创新人才等荣誉称号

  • 摘要: 深部、隐伏和覆盖区多源地学观测存在尺度差异、背景干扰与响应多解性,需要明确成矿认识向可计算、可验证预测信息转化的层级关系与技术路径。围绕地质−构造、地球化学、地球物理−遥感及三维空间信息,系统梳理空间量化、统计分析、传统机器学习、深度学习、地质知识约束及空间验证等方法,构建“原始数据—地质对象与异常响应—成矿信息—空间表达—预测变量—定量预测—验证”的层级框架,并比较不同方法的数据组织形式、适用尺度、样本设计、解释能力及验证方式。归纳物质来源、运移通道、成矿空间、沉淀富集、保存条件和已知矿化6类成矿系统信息,总结二维专题图/证据层与三维属性体2类主要空间表达,以及信息空间化、异常与组合提取、传统机器学习识别、深度空间表征、知识约束、空间与工程验证6个技术环节。卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network,CNN)与图神经网络/图卷积网络(graph neural network/graph convolutional network,GNN/GCN)同属深度学习,分别适用于规则栅格/体素与非规则关系网络。随机样本划分可能产生空间泄漏,空间分块、留区、跨矿集区及工程资料验证更适于评价模型迁移能力。成矿信息是成矿认识量化后形成的可计算证据,其质量首先取决于地质语义、尺度相容性、数据质量、样本代表性和独立验证,而非算法复杂度。智能成矿信息识别应受成矿系统、矿床模型和找矿模型约束,并加强多源协同、二维—三维融合、不确定性表达和可解释学习。

     

  • 图  1  矿产预测中理论约束、信息构建、智能模型与预测评价的关系

    Figure  1.  Relationships among theoretical constraints, information construction, intelligent models, and prospectivity assessment in mineral prospectivity mapping

    (a) Identification of geological objects and anomalous responses: (a1) Original geological map showing known mineralization; (a2) extraction of structural objects and construction of structural networks; (a3) Fault-distance and structural-proximity fields; (a4) Background separation and multi-element anomalies; (a5) Geological objects, attributes, and spatial relationships; (a6) Three-dimensional geological attribute volumes; (b) Spatial representation of metallogenic information and construction of predictive variables: (b1) Information matrix for the mineral system; (b2) Two-dimensional thematic maps and evidence layers; (b3) Three-dimensional attribute and relationship volumes; (b4) Spatial patterns of explicitly defined variables; (b5) Associations among predictive variables; (b6) Predictive variables and data provenance; (c) Knowledge–data collaborative identification, spatial validation, and feedback updating: (c1) Constraints imposed by the ore deposit model and knowledge graph; (c2) Evidence fusion across multiple representations; (c3) Model interpretability and evidence contributions; (c4) Spatial-block and leave-area-out validation; (c5) Predicted probability map; (c6) Uncertainty map; (c7) Target ranking and validation by drilling

    图  2  成矿信息形成及其向预测变量转换的基本框架

    Figure  2.  Framework for the formation of metallogenic information and its transformation into predictive variables

    (a) Data assembly and spatial representation: (a1) Geochemical data; (a2) Fault network; (a3) Fault-distance field; (a4) Known mineralization and geological background; (a5) Spatial units; (a6) Integrated feature table; (b) Label construction, model training, and spatial validation: (b1) Distance buffers and sample labeling; (b2) Random train-test split; (b3) Spatial group cross-validation; (b4) Performance matrix for candidate model; (b5) Precision-recall (PR) curves and calibration assessment; (b6) Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and model selection; (b7) Feature contributions; (c) Model interpretation, evidence testing, and robustness analysis: (c1) SHAP-based feature attribution; (c2) Counterfactual evidence replacement; (c3) Changes in mean model response; (c4) Threshold sensitivity; (c5) Robustness to Donor selection; (c6) Evidence types and confidence intervals; (d) Target delineation, prioritization, and engineering validation: (d1) Predicted probability map; (d2) High-potential units; (d3) Stability-screened units; (d4) Spatial aggregation and candidate targets; (d5) Target prioritization; (d6) Drilling profile and mineralization validation

    图  3  矿区三维地质模型及其空间结构表达(据孙会玲等,2026修改)

    Figure  3.  Three-dimensional geological model and its spatial structural representation of the Maodeng mining area (modified from Sun et al., 2026)

    (a) Spatial representation of borehole information; (b) Spatial representation of orebody geometry; (c) Spatial representation of stratigraphic structure; (d) Spatial representation of fault system

    图  4  三维矿体、高概率成矿区与预测靶区的空间关系(据孙会玲等,2026修改)

    Figure  4.  Spatial relationships among three-dimensional orebodies, high-probability mineralization zones, and predicted targets (modified from Sun et al., 2026)

    表  1  成矿系统要素及其预测信息表达

    Table  1.   Mineral system elements and their representation as predictive information

    成矿系统
    要素
    典型地质响应主要数据来源成矿信息表达预测变量示例主要验证依据
    物质来源成矿岩体、源岩、含矿层位地质、地球化学、同位素源区、岩体专题图或三维体距岩体、岩性编码、元素丰度已知矿化与源区关系
    运移通道断裂、剪切带、裂隙系统地质、物探、三维模型构造专题图、结构面属性距断裂、密度、交汇、连通性矿体沿构造展布关系
    成矿空间接触带、褶皱虚脱、岩性
    界面
    地质、钻孔、三维模型接触关系、有利空间体距接触带、界面曲率、邻接编码矿体赋存位置
    沉淀富集蚀变分带、元素组合、物性响应地球化学、遥感、物探异常组合、蚀变专题信息对数比、异常强度、纹理特征蚀变−矿化对应关系
    保存条件覆盖层、剥蚀面、后期断裂地质、遥感、第四纪与构造资料保存或破坏条件专题信息覆盖厚度、剥蚀距离、断裂切割矿体保存状态
    已知矿化矿点、矿体、工程见矿矿产地、钻孔、槽探、坑探标签或约束区正样本、距离标签、品位属性空间独立与工程验证
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  成矿信息提取、智能识别与验证的技术层级

    Table  2.   Technical hierarchy for metallogenic information extraction, intelligent identification, and validation

    技术环节 技术类别 代表方法 主要作用 主要局限
    信息空间化 GIS与三维空间分析 距离、密度、缓冲、拓扑、曲率、体素化 将地质对象和空间关系转化为可计算
    表达
    参数与尺度敏感,依赖地质
    解释质量
    异常与组合提取 统计与地球化学分析 稳健统计、CoDA、分形、多元分析 分离背景与异常并识别元素组合 统计异常不必然具有成矿
    意义
    模式识别 传统机器学习 RF、SVM、梯度提升、贝叶斯网络 识别显式预测变量的非线性组合 受标签偏差、空间自相关和类别不平衡影响
    深度空间表征 深度学习 CNN、3D CNN、自编码器、GNN/GCN 学习规则栅格、体素或关系网络中的
    复杂特征
    解释性、样本需求与跨区迁移能力受限
    知识约束 知识—数据协同 矿床模型、规则约束、知识图谱、关系嵌入 约束变量、关系与结果的地质语义 知识结构化成本高,规则可
    能带入主观性
    结果检验 空间与工程验证 空间分块、留区、跨区、钻探与野外验证 检验模型推广性和找矿有效性 独立资料不足,验证成本高
    注:CoDA—成分数据分析(compositional data analysis);RF—随机森林(random forest);SVM—支持向量机(support vector machine);3D CNN—三维卷积神经网络(three-dimensional convolutional neural network)
    下载: 导出CSV
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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2026-07-15
  • 修回日期:  2026-08-31
  • 录用日期:  2026-09-11
  • 预出版日期:  2026-09-24
  • 刊出日期:  2026-10-28

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