Artificial intelligence-empowered coal geology: advances, challenges, and prospects
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摘要: 人工智能的快速发展正在改变地球科学的研究范式。煤地质学的研究对象是煤、煤层、含煤岩系、煤盆地以及与煤共伴生矿产,其物质组成极其复杂,具有强非均质性、多尺度性和显著时空变异性。煤地质学研究的主要方向(如煤岩学、煤质学、煤系关键金属及煤层气勘探开发)与人工智能方法高度契合,人工智能正在推动煤地质学由传统经验识别和局部统计分析向多源数据融合、智能预测、机理解释并重的新范式转变,并且为发现新的地质现象提供了可能。文章系统综述了人工智能在煤显微组分智能识别、煤炭质量智能预测、煤系关键金属赋存状态与资源潜力智能评价、煤层气智能勘探开发等研究中的进展。人工智能技术在提升显微组分图像识别、煤质参数预测、煤系关键金属赋存模式发现和综合评价、煤层气甜点区评价与产能预测的效率与精度等方面具有重要作用,同时也面临高质量数据集不足、跨区域泛化能力有限、模型解释性与地质机理契合性弱、知识约束不够以及工程场景落地不足等问题。未来应加强煤地质学标准化大数据库建设,推动煤地质学知识与数据驱动模型深度融合,发展煤地质学可解释、可迁移的智能模型,构建面向煤地质学重大科学问题与关键矿产资源绿色高效开发的智能研究范式。Abstract:
Objective The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping the research paradigm of geosciences. Coal geology focuses on coal, coal seams, coal-bearing strata, coal basins, and the mineral resources that coexist or are associated with coal-bearing strata. These research objects exhibit highly complex material compositions, multiscale characteristics, and pronounced spatiotemporal variability. Consequently, major research directions of coal geology, including coal petrology, coal quality evaluation, critical metals in coal-bearing strata, and coalbed methane exploration and development, are particularly well suited to AI-based approaches. Methods AI is driving coal geology beyond traditional, experience-based identification and localized statistical analysis toward a new paradigm integrating multi-source data fusion, intelligent prediction, and mechanistic interpretation. It also provides new opportunities for discovering previously unrecognized geological phenomena. Results This paper systematically reviews recent advances in AI applications to the intelligent identification of coal macerals, prediction of coal quality, assessment of the occurrence modes and resource potentials of critical metals in coal-bearing strata, and prediction of coalbed methane. AI technologies have significantly improved the efficiency and accuracy of maceral image recognition, coal quality parameter prediction, identification of critical metal occurrence patterns in coal, and comprehensive resource evaluation. However, several challenges remain, including the scarcity of high-quality datasets, limited cross-regional generalization capability, weak model interpretability, insufficient consistency with geological mechanisms, inadequate knowledge constraints, and limited implementation in engineering scenarios. Conclusions Future research should strengthen the development of standardized large-scale databases, promote the deep integration of geological knowledge with data-driven models, develop interpretable and transferable AI models, and establish an intelligent research paradigm oriented toward major scientific questions in coal geology and the green and efficient development of critical mineral resources. Significance This review highlights the transformative role of AI in advancing coal geology from experience-driven analysis toward knowledge-guided, intelligent research, providing methodological support for major scientific discoveries and the green and efficient development of coal-related resources. -
表 1 人工智能方法在HHV和HGI预测中的代表性应用
Table 1. Representative applications of AI methods in HHV and HGI prediction
预测指标 输入变量 人工智能方法 预测效果 代表性文献 HHV 工业分析指标:水分、灰分、挥
发分、固定碳SVR 测试集平均绝对误差为2.95%(中国
煤样)和2.43%(美国煤样);相关系数
r分别为0.978和0.994。Tan et al.,2015 HHV 工业分析指标:水分、标准灰分、
挥发分、固定碳GBRT、MLR、SVR、GPR、ANN 测试集R2为0.9862(COALQUAL)和0.9541(Kentucky);MAE为0.462和0.519 MJ/kg;MAPE均为0.019。 Xu et al.,2023a HHV 元素分析指标:C、H、O、N、S GS/MARS、MLP、MLR GS/MARS测试集R2=0.9921、r=0.9960、RMSE=0.1626,优于MLP(R2=0.9345)和MLR(R2=0.8683)。 García-Nieto et al.,2024 HGI 工业分析、元素分析、氧化物和
煤岩参数RF R2=0.90;99%样品预测误差<4个HGI单位,60%样品预测误差<2个HGI单位;
MSE=3.54。Matin et al.,2016 HGI 发热量、工业分析指标(水分、
灰分、挥发分、固定碳)、全硫
和黄铁矿含量。ANN、SVR、LSTM ANN模型R2>0.9,整体表现为ANN
最高、SVR次之、LSTM最低。Lawal et al.,2025 -
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