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AI赋能煤地质学:进展、挑战与展望

代世峰,  许娜,  朱伟,  李鹏飞,  齐安良煜,  刘宇,  颜瑞雯,  赵正福

代世峰,许娜,朱伟,等,2026. AI赋能煤地质学:进展、挑战与展望[J]. 地质力学学报,32(5):1049−1061 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026060
引用本文: 代世峰,许娜,朱伟,等,2026. AI赋能煤地质学:进展、挑战与展望[J]. 地质力学学报,32(5):1049−1061 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026060
DAI S F,XU N,ZHU W,et al.,2026. Artificial intelligence-empowered coal geology: advances, challenges, and prospects[J]. Journal of Geomechanics,32(5):1049−1061 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026060
Citation: DAI S F,XU N,ZHU W,et al.,2026. Artificial intelligence-empowered coal geology: advances, challenges, and prospects[J]. Journal of Geomechanics,32(5):1049−1061 doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026060

AI赋能煤地质学:进展、挑战与展望

doi: 10.12090/j.issn.1006-6616.2026060
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目(42372191,42321002,42472230)
详细信息
    作者简介:

    代世峰(1970—),男,博士,教授,中国科学院院士,主要从事煤地质学、地球化学和煤系关键金属矿产的科学研究。Email:dsf@cumtb.edu.cn

    通讯作者:

    许娜(1982—),女,博士,教授,主要从事人工智能与地球科学研究。Email:xuna@cumtb.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: P618.11;TP18;P595

Artificial intelligence-empowered coal geology: advances, challenges, and prospects

Funds: This research was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grants Nos. 42372191, 42321002, and 42472230).
More Information
    Author Bio:

    代世峰,中国科学院院士,中国矿业大学(北京)教授,2025年获第十九次李四光地质科学奖科研奖。主要从事地质学和煤系关键金属矿产的科研和教学工作。作为负责人主持了国家自然科学基金创新研究群体项目、国家973项目、国家自然科学基金重大研究计划、国家重点研发计划项目等重要研究任务。在国内外主流期刊上发表论文200余篇,总被引(他引)3万余次。任JCR一区国际期刊International Journal of Coal Geology主编。入选科睿唯安全球高被引科学家(2019—2025)、爱思唯尔中国高被引学者(2014—2024)。曾获国际有机岩石学会最高奖John Castano奖(2021)、美国地质学会能源地质奖Gilbert H. Cady奖(2023)、以第一完成人2次获得国际有机岩石学会Dal Swaine奖(2017和2024)

  • 摘要: 人工智能的快速发展正在改变地球科学的研究范式。煤地质学的研究对象是煤、煤层、含煤岩系、煤盆地以及与煤共伴生矿产,其物质组成极其复杂,具有强非均质性、多尺度性和显著时空变异性。煤地质学研究的主要方向(如煤岩学、煤质学、煤系关键金属及煤层气勘探开发)与人工智能方法高度契合,人工智能正在推动煤地质学由传统经验识别和局部统计分析向多源数据融合、智能预测、机理解释并重的新范式转变,并且为发现新的地质现象提供了可能。文章系统综述了人工智能在煤显微组分智能识别、煤炭质量智能预测、煤系关键金属赋存状态与资源潜力智能评价、煤层气智能勘探开发等研究中的进展。人工智能技术在提升显微组分图像识别、煤质参数预测、煤系关键金属赋存模式发现和综合评价、煤层气甜点区评价与产能预测的效率与精度等方面具有重要作用,同时也面临高质量数据集不足、跨区域泛化能力有限、模型解释性与地质机理契合性弱、知识约束不够以及工程场景落地不足等问题。未来应加强煤地质学标准化大数据库建设,推动煤地质学知识与数据驱动模型深度融合,发展煤地质学可解释、可迁移的智能模型,构建面向煤地质学重大科学问题与关键矿产资源绿色高效开发的智能研究范式。

     

  • 图  1  煤显微组分智能识别发展主要技术路径

    Figure  1.  Development of coal maceral identification by AI

    表  1  人工智能方法在HHV和HGI预测中的代表性应用

    Table  1.   Representative applications of AI methods in HHV and HGI prediction

    预测指标 输入变量 人工智能方法 预测效果 代表性文献
    HHV 工业分析指标:水分、灰分、挥
    发分、固定碳
    SVR 测试集平均绝对误差为2.95%(中国
    煤样)和2.43%(美国煤样);相关系数
    r分别为0.978和0.994。
    Tan et al.,2015
    HHV 工业分析指标:水分、标准灰分、
    挥发分、固定碳
    GBRT、MLR、SVR、GPR、ANN 测试集R2为0.9862(COALQUAL)和0.9541(Kentucky);MAE为0.462和0.519 MJ/kg;MAPE均为0.019。 Xu et al.,2023a
    HHV 元素分析指标:C、H、O、N、S GS/MARS、MLP、MLR GS/MARS测试集R2=0.9921、r=0.9960、RMSE=0.1626,优于MLP(R2=0.9345)和MLR(R2=0.8683)。 García-Nieto et al.,2024
    HGI 工业分析、元素分析、氧化物和
    煤岩参数
    RF R2=0.90;99%样品预测误差<4个HGI单位,60%样品预测误差<2个HGI单位;
    MSE=3.54。
    Matin et al.,2016
    HGI 发热量、工业分析指标(水分、
    灰分、挥发分、固定碳)、全硫
    和黄铁矿含量。
    ANN、SVR、LSTM ANN模型R2>0.9,整体表现为ANN
    最高、SVR次之、LSTM最低。
    Lawal et al.,2025
    下载: 导出CSV
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  • 收稿日期:  2026-05-21
  • 修回日期:  2026-09-02
  • 录用日期:  2026-09-04
  • 预出版日期:  2026-09-04
  • 刊出日期:  2026-10-28

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