Volume 18 Issue 1
Mar.  2012
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Article Navigation >  Journal of Geomechanics  > 2012  >  18(1): 91-96
XU Dao-yi, DENG Zhi-hui, CHU Quan-Zhi, et al., 2012. THE MODERATE-TERM PREDICTION FOR Mw 9.0 EARTHQUAKE IN JAPAN AND ITS SCIENTIFIC BACKGROUND. Journal of Geomechanics, 18 (1): 91-96.
Citation: XU Dao-yi, DENG Zhi-hui, CHU Quan-Zhi, et al., 2012. THE MODERATE-TERM PREDICTION FOR Mw 9.0 EARTHQUAKE IN JAPAN AND ITS SCIENTIFIC BACKGROUND. Journal of Geomechanics, 18 (1): 91-96.
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THE MODERATE-TERM PREDICTION FOR Mw 9.0 EARTHQUAKE IN JAPAN AND ITS SCIENTIFIC BACKGROUND

  • Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100029, China

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  • Received: 2011-09-28
  • Published: 2012-03-01
    Abstract
  • In this paper, the author summarized the moderate-term prediction about the super-great earthquake occurred in the sea off the east coast of Honshu, Japan on March 11, 2011, and discussed the predicting criteria. The predicted areas were defined to south Japan and other two areas. The predicted earthquake magnitude was 8.0 to 8.3. The moderate-term prediction was based on the tectonic system controlled by Qinhai-Tibet-Yunnan-Burma-Indonesian eta-type tectonic series. The comparison of prediction result to the occurrence of Mw 9.0 earthquake in Japan indicates that the prediction is basically correct.

     

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